NFL Betting Prediction, Pick for Bills vs. Texans: Monday Night Football’s 56% Against-the-Spread System

Bills vs. Titans NFL Odds

*Odds as of Monday morning

The Buffalo Bills are one of the best teams in the AFC, while the Tennessee Titans should also be a playoff team based solely on the lack of any competition in their division.

When it comes to the Monday Night Football betting market, the gap between the two is large, evidenced by the 6-point spread.

At this point in the season Buffalo certainly looks to be the better team, but that doesn’t mean it’s a shoo-in to cover tonight against Tennessee.

So how should bettors approach Bills vs. Titans on Monday Night Football?

Is the spread the right way to play it? Or is the over/under offering the most value?

Thanks to our NFL PRO Betting Systems, let’s answer those very questions.

Bills vs. Titans NFL Betting Prediction 

The Bills have been covering machines so far this season — so much so that Buffalo is actually a smart fade tonight against the Titans.

Let me explain.

Buffalo is covering the spread by an insane 15.3 points per game this season and recreational bettors will often blindly go back to the well that has worked in recent weeks, no matter how small the sample is.

Considering that 80% of Bills vs. Titans spread bets have landed on Buffalo, it’s reasonable to say that’s likely what’s happening tonight for Monday Night Football.

But let’s not forget that oddsmakers understand this behavior as well and will shade lines to account for one-sided action that is sure to come in no matter the spread.

Contrarian bettors willing to take advantage of this shading can find extra line value, and this is the crux of our Fade Covering Team PRO Betting System.

Teams in this spot, like Tennessee tonight, are 326-260-17 (56%) against the spread since 2005.

PRO System Pick: Titans +6

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