MLB Odds & Betting Model Prediction for Yankees vs. Red Sox: The AL Wild Card Game’s Big Over/Under Edge

Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds

Yankees Odds -125
Red Sox Odds +105
Over/Under 8.5
Date Tuesday, Oct. 5
Time 8:08 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

*Odds as of Tuesday morning

It doesn’t get better than the New York Yankees vs. the Boston Red Sox in a winner-take-all MLB matchup, and that’s exactly what we’ll get in the AL Wild Card Game on Tuesday night.

The Yankees will send ace Gerrit Cole to the mound while the Red Sox will counter with Nathan Eovaldi, and oddsmakers expect a close game.

New York is currently a -125 favorite against Boston with an AL Wild Card Game total of 8.5 according to the latest MLB odds.

And surprisingly enough, our MLB betting model sees a very juice edge for Tuesday night’s Yankees vs. Red Sox matchup.

Let’s dive in.

Yankees vs. Red Sox MLB Betting Model Prediction


Despite a very good pitching matchup and both teams likely exhausting their bullpens in tonight’s sudden death game, The Action Network’s MLB PRO Projections are pinpointing plenty of value on the Yankees vs. Red Sox over.

Our model projects this total at 9.34, resulting in a 5.3%, B-graded edge when compared to the current consensus number of 8.5.

In fact, savvy bettors can extract even more value from this matchup by visiting our MLB Live Odds Page to shop for the best number.

For example, while the current Yankees vs. Red Sox consensus total is 8.5, there are a handful of sportsbooks, like BetMGM and FanDuel at 8, providing over bettors with an even bigger edge for tonight’s AL Wild Card Game.

PRO Report Pick: Over 8


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