Tag: Hero
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Finding Value in Midseason Cy Young Odds
Aces have held suit so far, and both the American and National League have an odds-on Cy Young favorite with about a baker’s dozen starts left to go in the season. The injury bug can bite at any time, and nothing is a lock at this point. There are a bunch of guys who could…
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Sobel, Sleeze, and Davy: Favorite British Open Matchup Props
If you’ve heard the The Action Network Golf Podcast, you know that the man (Sleeze) and the machine (Davy) battle it out with their golf takes. Colin Davy builds a model every week to analyze the best matchup props, whereas Drew Stoltz (aka Sleeze), a former golf pro, relies on his inside-the-ropes knowledge. Often they…
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How MLB.tv Has Let Down Baseball Bettors This Season
I come not to praise MLB.tv, but to bury it. I moved to New York 18 months ago. The first year I lived here, my roommates were two strangers I met through a mutual friend. We didn’t have a lot in common — they didn’t like the shows I liked, or the sports I liked,…
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Rating 80+ British Open Golf Matchup Props: Koepka Over Spieth, More
The Action Network golf guru Colin Davy built a British Open-specific model that takes into account all the relevant metrics for a player: Overall strokes per round, adjusted for playing conditions and strength of field, plus player history and weather conditions. That model powers our British Open Mega Guide, which you should definitely check out. And…
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British Open Betting Action: Fleetwood, Koepka Among Most Popular Wagers
The British Open gets underway early Thursday morning (1:35 a.m., ET) at Carnoustie Golf Links on Scotland’s East Coast. With the tournament just hours away, we spoke with Jeff Sherman of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook to get a feel for the Action. Open Championship wagering leaders ticket count: Tommy Fleetwood Rickie Fowler Henrik Stenson…
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Michigan 2018 Betting Preview: Brutal Schedule Will Doom Wolverines
Michigan 2018 Betting Odds To win the National Title: +2000 To win the Big Ten: +475 To win the Big Ten East: +280 Win Total: 9 All lines taken from 5Dimes on July 9. Always shop for the best line. Michigan 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds The Action Network Projected Wins: 9 Bet To Watch Michigan not…
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British Open Golf Betting Guide: Analysis and Tips for the 90 Best Golfers
Who’s ready for some early wake-up calls? That’s right: It’s British Open week, which means nostalgic shots of Scottish pubs, baked-out fairways, and very little sleep for the golf/betting obsessed. We know we’re preaching to the choir, which is why we’ve compiled breakdowns on the 90 best players in the field below (listed in alphabetical…
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British Open Experts Picks: Favorite Bets for Carnoustie
If you’re in the States, set your alarm clocks for 1:35 a.m. ET Thursday for the start of the British Open. You really shouldn’t have any issue getting plenty of rest Wednesday night — one of the worst betting nights of the entire year. To help get you prepared for the weekend at Carnoustie, we…
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Sobel: Ranking the Entire 2018 British Open Field, from 1-156
Carnoustie Golf Links doesn’t suffer fools. Of the seven players who have tamed the fearsome track enough to be called Champion Golfer of the Year, five have been enshrined in the World Golf Hall of Fame, and another, Padraig Harrington, almost certainly will be someday. That doesn’t mean a relative journeyman or unknown can’t walk…
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Bales: How to Overcome Betting & Fantasy Confirmation Bias
Way back when I was in my prime — before all the sex and drugs blogging and data collection — I wrote some books. The Fantasy Sports for Smart People collection is the best-selling fantasy sports and DFS book series of all time. Is that actually true? I don’t know. And if I don’t know,…
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The Big British Open Question: To Hit Driver or Not to Hit Driver?
If William Shakespeare was covering this week’s Open Championship — and really, it’s right there in nearby Scotland; he has no good excuse for not showing up — the Bard might start out his analysis with this: “To hit driver, or not to hit driver: that is the question.” Considering the concrete-like fairways of Carnoustie…
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Minnesota 2018 Betting Preview: Will Gophers Improve In Fleck’s Second Season?
Minnesota 2018 Betting Odds To win the National Title: +100000 To win the Big Ten: +6000 To win the Big Ten West: +1450 Win Total: 6 (over -125, under +105) Always shop for the best line. Minnesota 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds The Action Network Projected Wins: 5.7 Bet To Watch Minnesota Win Total Over 6 Minnesota…
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Best British Open Longshot Bets: Oosthuizen Has the Mettle to Contend
As we enter the third major of the year, it’s a good time to take a look at how we’ve fared in the 2017-18 golf season. So far in this campaign, I’ve picked nine outright winners in my articles for The Action Network. We’ll try to keep it rolling with this week’s British Open at…
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Betting the British Open Favorites: The Most Overvalued Golfer on the Board
As we enter the third major of the year, it’s a good time to take a look at how we’ve fared in the 2017-18 golf season. So far in this campaign, I’ve picked nine outright winners in my articles for The Action Network. We’ll try to keep it rolling with this week’s British Open at…
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British Open Betting: 3 Mid-Tier Golfers Peaking at the Right Time
As we enter the third major of the year, it’s a good time to take a look at how we’ve fared in the 2017-18 golf season. So far in this campaign, I’ve picked nine outright winners in my articles for The Action Network. We’ll try to keep it rolling with this week’s British Open at…
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Fading Elite MLB Teams After the All-Star Break is a Sharp Play
The three best teams in baseball at the All-Star break are the Boston Red Sox (68-30), New York Yankees (62-33) and Houston Astros (64-35). The trio are the betting favorites and most likely teams to win the World Series. At 750-1, the Rays Are An Intriguing and Fun World Series FutureRead now Their success…
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NBA Summer League Betting: Finding Value in Tuesday’s Championship Game
As mentioned in our inaugural Summer League piece last Friday, it’s been highly profitable the past two seasons to bet underdogs and overs. Favorites: 66-117-5 ATS, -30.0% ROI, -$5,636 lost for a $100/unit bettor Dogs: 117-66-5 ATS, +22.5% ROI, +$4,227 won for a $100/unit bettor Over: 107-77-4, +12.0% ROI, +$2,252 won for a $100/unit bettor Under:…
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Jimmy Butler, the Wolves, and the NBA’s Next Big Storm
Update: It looks like that storm came early for the Wolves as Jimmy Butler demanded a trade from Minnesota, sources told the Athletic. He reportedly has the Clippers, Knicks and Nets on his preferred list of teams. The decision marks the latest step in an increasing slow disintegration of the Wolves’ core nucleus and could…
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At 750-1, the Rays Are An Intriguing and Fun World Series Future
The Tampa Bay Rays began the season 1-8 and it looked like their 2018 campaign was dead before it even got going. Since then, the Rays are 48-39 and have my attention, despite being 750-1 to win the World Series. Tampa Bay is 49-47 at the All-Star break, which leaves the Rays 18 games back…
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Lo Duca: Sizing Up Two MLB Divisional Races at the All-Star Break
The All-Star Game is tonight, and while it’s a good distraction from the grind of the MLB season — for both players and bettors alike — it is also a good opportunity to look back and size up the stretch run. The AL East Who would have thought that the Red Sox would be the…
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Penn State 2018 Betting Preview: Undervalued Thanks to Public Perception
Penn State 2018 Betting Odds To win the National Title: +3000 To win the Big Ten: +575 To win the Big Ten East: +355 Win Total: 9.5 (over -105, under -115) Always shop for the best line. Penn State 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds The Action Network Projected Wins: 9.2 Bet To Watch Penn State Over 9.5…
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Betting the MLB All-Star Game: Finding Value in the Total
Many will focus on the fact that Tuesday’s All-Star Game will break an all-time tie between the American League and National League, as both are 43-43-2 in the Midsummer Classic. (Well, unless Bud Selig somehow shows up and finds a way to declare another tie.) Others will focus on recent AL domination, as the NL…
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Iowa 2018 Betting Preview: Why Hawkeyes Can Challenge for Big Ten West
Iowa 2018 Betting Odds To win the National Title: +40000 To win the Big Ten: +4000 To win the Big Ten West: +1200 Win Total: 7.5 (over +105, under -125) Always shop for the best line. Iowa 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds The Action Network Projected Wins: 6.9 Bet To Watch Iowa to win the Big Ten…
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MLB First-Half Betting Recap: Unders Crushed, Home Teams Got Crushed
With the first half of the MLB season officially in the books, baseball bettors can now spend the All-Star break doing some much needed housekeeping. Over the next few days, bettors can take a step back, catch their breath and analyze the first half of the season. They can isolate the performance of specific systems…
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Jean Van de Velde and a $17K Score: The Story of the Worst Golf Gambling Beat Ever
In the world of sports gambling, there are losses, there are bad beats, and then there’s the type of historically bad beat that befell a man named Bob Bubka back in 1999. A longtime golf radio broadcaster who is still covering the game’s professional ranks, Bubka showed up to Carnoustie for The Open Championship that…
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Joffe’s World Cup Challenge: I Didn’t Lose Everything
#JOFFIFA is over and I survived! Over the course of the month, I bet almost $1500. It wasn’t easy, I never thought I’d make it, and I never envisioned I’d be sad to see it end. But here we are. I’m feeling a void. Crap. Thanks to the idiots at FIFA, we have to wait…
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NBA Summer League Betting: Are Monday Final Four Favorites Underrated?
As mentioned in our inaugural Summer League piece last Friday, it’s been highly profitable the past two seasons to bet underdogs and overs. Favorites: 66-117-5 ATS, -30.0% ROI, -$5,636 lost for a $100/unit bettor Dogs: 117-66-5 ATS, +22.5% ROI, +$4,227 won for a $100/unit bettor Over: 107-77-4, +12.0% ROI, +$2,252 won for a $100/unit bettor Under:…
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Ewing: History Says Fade Bryce Harper in the Home Run Derby
The MLB All-Star break is almost upon us, which means the Home Run Derby is just around the corner. The bracket for Monday’s event (8 p.m. ET) has been revealed. Dingers on deck. Here’s the field for the 2018 @TMobile #HRDerby. pic.twitter.com/bhBnC5k92X — MLB (@MLB) July 12, 2018 Bryce Harper (+300) is the early favorite.…
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Nebraska 2018 Betting Preview: Fade Scott Frost in Year Zero
Nebraska 2018 Betting Odds To win the National Title: +25000 To win the Big Ten: +4000 To win the Big Ten West: +1200 Win Total: 6.5 Always shop for the best line. Nebraska 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds The Action Network Projected Wins: 5.1 Bet To Watch Nebraska Win Total Under 6.5 The love for a coach…
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The Action Network Golf Podcast: Bob Bubka and the Worst Gambling Beat in Golf History
In this episode, Jason Sobel speaks with the legendary Bob Bubka, “The Voice of Golf.” Nineteen years ago, Bubka suffered the worst gambling beat in golf history, and together they talk about how he recovered, life in the golf media business, and Rory McIlroy’s chances this week at the British Open. Subscribe, rate, and review…
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The Action Network NFL Podcast: Top-12 Fantasy RBs
On this week’s episode, Matthew, Sean, and Chris break down the top-12 fantasy RBs. They debate Alvin Kamara’s potential regression, Saquon Barkley as a possible No. 1 overall fantasy pick, and everything you’ve ever wanted to know about Melvin Gordon. Subscribe to the podcast here!
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Betting the 2018 Home Run Derby: Staff Selections
Well, no more World Cup, and Wimbledon also ended on Sunday. Add in the start of the MLB All-Star break, and bettors everywhere have already started dreaming of pigskins. Well, if you need to feed your degenerate hunger Monday, you may have to bet on the Home Run Derby. If you decide to head down…
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Leboff: How Luka Modric Made Me Fall in Love With Betting Again
A few days ago, there was a meeting at The Action Network office. Given the roster of people in the conference room, it seemed like an important gathering, which was a little weird because I wasn’t invited and the people upstairs usually like to have me sit in on these things to keep everybody in…
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Steph Curry Loses Golf Bet to His Dad, Jumps in Lake Tahoe
Golf and betting go together like Steph Curry and 3s from the tunnel. And betting on golf with your dad? It’s downright un-American to pass up on that kind of action. Steph and his pops, Dell, seem to agree, if their weekend festivities are any indication. The two played in the American Century Championship, a…
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2022 FIFA World Cup Odds: Can France Pull Off a Repeat?
Already having World Cup withdrawals? Lucky for you, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook has released odds for nearly 80 countries to win the 2022 tournament in Qatar. At 13-2, France has a 13.3% implied probability to win it all again in four years. They aren’t the favorite, though. That is reserved for Brazil, whose 6-1…
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Betting Tips for Golf Majors: Mid-Tier Players Offer Best Values
At golf majors, fields are obviously full of the best players in the world. And while odds adjust in response to the talent level, do they adjust enough? Dustin Johnson, for example, is currently 12-1 to win the British Open next week. Is that enough of a move down given the field’s strength? Where’s the…
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ROY vs. ROI: What Summer League Means for Rookie of the Year Odds
Summer League is over … well, the part of it where teams actually try to win is over. The Summer League tournament was a good idea to try and keep things competitive, but there’s just never going to be any realistic incentive for teams to keep their star rookies and promising camp players active. This…
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Kawhi to the Raptors? Toronto Now the Unexpected Favorite to Land Leonard
Kawhi Leonard trade prop odds are on the move. Mysteriously on Thursday morning, Toronto shifted to be the favorite to land the All-Star Spur. The full odds rundown (a $100 bet on +250 odds would win you $250, as an example): Raptors: +250 Lakers: +300 Spurs: +450 Clippers: +700 Celtics: +800 76ers: +800 Rockets: +1000…
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The World Cup Was Like a Month’s Worth of NFL Sundays for Sportsbooks
The World Cup is truly a unique gambling holiday. Not only does it come around just once every four years, but it also touches every corner of the globe like no other sporting event. Seemingly everybody has something at stake in the tournament, even if their home country doesn’t make the dance. More and more…
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Sunday’s MLB Over/Under: Will Rays’ ‘Bullpen Game’ Keep Surging?
Hard to believe we’ve arrived at the final day before the All-Star break. The pleasure has been all mine in providing each of you with these over/unders on a daily basis, but I must say I am very much looking forward to some days off. Before that, though, we still have one game remaining. Let’s…
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Bettors Backing Astros as One of the Biggest Favorites Since 2005
Public bettors went 2-1 on their three top spots Saturday, but actually lost money due to the hefty prices they paid. Still, they’re sticking with their strategy of backing favorites, which today includes one of the biggest lines of the season. All data as of 10:45 a.m. ET. For live info, check out our MLB…
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NBA Summer League Betting: Sunday’s Elite Eight
As mentioned in our inaugural Summer League piece last Friday, it’s been highly profitable the past two seasons to bet underdogs and overs. Favorites: 66-117-5 ATS, -30.0% ROI, -$5,636 lost for a $100/unit bettor Dogs: 117-66-5 ATS, +22.5% ROI, +$4,227 won for a $100/unit bettor Over: 107-77-4, +12.0% ROI, +$2,252 won for a $100/unit bettor Under:…
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Sharps Betting Cubs-Padres, 3 Other Sunday MLB Games
Sharp bettors went 2-1 Saturday, winning a bit over a unit thanks to the plus money they took with Pittsburgh. Today they’re hammering four spots — including the Pittsburgh matchup again — as they look to build off yesterday’s wins. Before that, though, here are some terms you should know. Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and…
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Massive Line Movement Makes Kyle Schwarber New Home Run Derby Favorite
Wednesday, the 2018 MLB Home Run Derby field was announced. Thursday, odds hit the books. Friday, we have some huge line movement to report. Fast-moving world we live in. That’s right, your eyes are not deceiving you. Kyle Schwarber has gone from worst to first — from +900 odds to +300 odds in less than…
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2018 World Cup Final: Staff Predictions for Croatia vs. France
And then there were two. France and Croatia will battle it out for all of the marbles in the World Cup final on Sunday. In our pre-tournament article, quite a few members of The Action Network staff nailed either France or Croatia — Sean Newsham even had France as his pick and Croatia as his…
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2018 World Cup Final: Sharps Betting France-Croatia to Go to Extra Time
On Sunday morning, France will take on Croatia for the right to lift the 2018 World Cup trophy. It would be the second victory for France — who won in 1998 — and the first for Croatia. France are sizable favorites to win at -218 odds, while Croatia are +188. Entering the tournament, France were…
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Download Our Free World Cup Finals Prop Sheet
Did you bet Germany to win the 2018 World Cup? What about Brazil? Are you kicking yourself for not pulling the trigger on that Croatia future you talked up to your friends before the tournament? Well, there are no time machines in betting, but we’re here to help you get some more action on the…
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World Cup Final: France’s Stingy Defense Will Be the Difference Against Croatia
France are the immovable object and Croatia are, well, a more or less resistible force. The story of France’s tournament, and even more broadly their last two years of international play starting with a trip to the finals of Euro 2016, is that despite an abundance of attacking talent, the team is built to defend.…
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Joffe’s World Cup Challenge, Finals Edition: Time to Go All In
It took the entire tournament, but I learned something today from the trolls on #GamblingTwitter: Betting on PK, -0.5 in soccer is the same as betting on -0.25. If you remember, in my first post of this great adventure, I said — and I quote — “Soccer is not my thing — and I certainly…
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World Cup Final Betting: Kylian Mbappe Should Run Over Tired Croatia
We heard it before the semifinals and now we’re hearing it again. Croatia’s players have to be absolutely exhausted ahead of the World Cup final against France. After needing penalty kicks to overcome Denmark and Russia, the Croatians went 120 minutes again in their win over England. Toward the end of the match with England…
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Is There Value In Backing A High-Scoring World Cup Final?
This World Cup will be remembered for many things — buckets and buckets of extra-time goals, compelling drama and unexpected departures. The three favorites entering the tournament either didn’t make the knockout round (Germany), had their coach replaced right before the tournament started (Spain) or set the record in defeat for most times rolling across…
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Laurence: My Favorite Goalscorer Props for the World Cup Final
So this is it, the World Cup final, and while it’s one I’ll watch with regret as an England fan, the fact that football isn’t coming home is easier to swallow after having stopped by for a few weeks to remind us why we love it, much like a child who has gone off on…
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Mariners-Rockies Betting Preview: Don’t Take the Bait
Seattle Mariners at Colorado Rockies, 9:10 p.m. ET Mariners (Wade LeBlanc): +155 Rockies (Jon Gray): -172 Over/under 11.5 I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: Oddsmakers are not your friends. So when they put out a nice, juicy +155 line on a 58-37 team, they aren’t doing it to put another 20 in…
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Wimbledon Final Preview: Will Djokovic Reclaim the Gentlemen’s Crown?
After a combined 11 hours and 57 minutes of tennis in the men’s semifinals (the two longest semifinal matches ever), we finally have our 2018 gentlemen’s title matchup at The Championships, Wimbledon. In one corner stands 6-foot-8 South African Kevin Anderson, who outlasted John Isner, 26-24, in the fifth set on Friday. At 32 years…
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Yankees-Indians Betting Preview: Attacking CC Sabathia’s Splits
Betting odds: New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Indians, 7:15 p.m. ET Yankees (CC Sabathia): -103 Indians (Mike Clevinger): -107 Over/under: 9.5 (u-121) This looks like a pretty high-scoring game on paper with both Sabathia and Clevinger coming off rough outings to face two excellent offenses. And the first two games of the series each featured 11…
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Public MLB Bettors All Over Astros and Cubs on Saturday
Public bettors enjoyed a small profit on Friday night after two of their three favorites got to the window. They will look to continue their hot streak today by once again focusing on three more favorites. All data as of 11:30 a.m. ET. For live info, check out our MLB live odds page. Houston Astros…
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Saturday’s MLB Over/Under: Duffy, Lopez Go At It on the South Side
A nice and (mostly) relaxing win in last night’s Tigers-Astros under 8.5, as Mike Fiers got a little redemption with a quality start after Houston left him off last year’s postseason roster. Although we owe more thanks to Dallas Keuchel for his performance. Now let’s move on to the penultimate day of the “first half.”…
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NBA Summer League Betting: Moving on to the Winner’s Bracket
As mentioned in our inaugural Summer League piece last Friday, it’s been highly profitable the past two seasons to bet underdogs and overs. Favorites: 66-117-5 ATS, -30.0% ROI, -$5,636 lost for a $100/unit bettor Dogs: 117-66-5 ATS, +22.5% ROI, +$4,227 won for a $100/unit bettor Over: 107-77-4, +12.0% ROI, +$2,252 won for a $100/unit bettor Under:…
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Saturday MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting A’s-Giants and 2 Other Matchups
The 2018 MLB season just does not want to turn around for sharp bettors. Unlike years past, sharp action indicators have not yet led to profits this season. And last night’s sharpest angles were no different, going 1-2 for a small loss. Yankees-Indians Betting Preview: Attacking CC Sabathia’s SplitsRead now Still, wiseguys will stick with…
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NASCAR Cup Series: Top Bets for Saturday’s Quaker State 400 at Kentucky
The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series visits Kentucky Speedway for 400 miles under the lights. Kentucky was reconfigured and repaved prior to the 2016 race — and in each of the two night races held there since, 11 of the 40 drivers encountered major problems. That increased the potential for a late caution to throw…
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Double Moose Alert: Cubs Comeback After Two-Out HBP in Ninth-Inning
Thanks to a Padres throwing error, the Cubs tied the game 3-3 in the top of the fifth inning on an unearned run. The game would grind to a halt from that point on, which had to please under 8.5 bettors. That score held until Austin Hedges hit a two-out RBI single in the bottom…
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Boxing: How to Bet Manny Pacquiao vs. Lucas Matthysse
Manny “Pac Man” Pacquiao is still trudging along. The future Hall of Famer is in action this Saturday Night (9 p.m. ET, ESPN+) against Lucas Martin Matthysse. It will be the 69th professional bout of Pacquiao’s illustrious career. The fight is set to take place in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, which obviously gives Pac Man a…
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Friday’s MLB Over/Under: Motivated Mike Fiers Returns to Houston
We’re at the last weekend before the MLB All-Star break, and despite last night’s disappointing Nationals-Mets Under 7 loss, it’s still been a good week. Let’s try to keep it that way with this Friday night over/under. Zylbert’s 2018 MLB Over/Under Betting Record: 61-39-3, +17.95 units Yesterday’s Result: Nationals-Mets Under 7, Scherzer vs. Matz (loss) *Each…
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2018 WTA Wimbledon Final Betting Preview: Serena Goes For Record 24th Slam
After winning her 11th consecutive grass semifinal and 20th straight match at Wimbledon, Serena Williams is now one win away from her 24th Grand Slam title, which would tie Margaret Court for most all-time. On the other hand, an upset win by Angelique Kerber would give the German three of the four career Grand Slams,…
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Friday Sharp Report: Pros Betting Phillies-Marlins, Two Other Games
Pro players split their two Thursday plays, cashing the Mariners-Angels Over but losing the Orioles moneyline. Now, it’s Friday, which has historically been the best day of the week to fade the public. With recreational bettors wrapping up their work week (and getting their latest paychecks), average Joes are more likely to get down on games,…
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NBA Summer League Betting: An All-Consolation Bracket Friday
As mentioned in our inaugural Summer League piece last Friday, it’s been highly profitable the past two seasons to bet underdogs and overs. Favorites: 66-117-5 ATS, -30.0% ROI, -$5,636 lost for a $100/unit bettor Dogs: 117-66-5 ATS, +22.5% ROI, +$4,227 won for a $100/unit bettor Over: 107-77-4, +12.0% ROI, +$2,252 won for a $100/unit bettor Under:…
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Rays-Twins Betting Preview: Will Eovaldi and Odorizzi Stay Hot in Minnesota?
Betting odds: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins, 8:10 p.m. ET Rays (Nathan Eovaldi): -109 Twins (Jake Odorizzi): -101 Over/under: 8.5 (u+100) Scherzer vs. Sale. Severino vs. Kluber. Kershaw vs Bumgarner. We’ve got plenty hypothetical ace vs. ace match-ups that would make fans salivate a lot more than Eovaldi vs. Odorizzi. But these two pitchers, who…
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Belgium-England Rematch: How the Public Is Betting the World Cup Third-Place Game
In a rematch from their final group stage game, Belgium will face off against England for third-place on Saturday at 10 a.m. ET. Both teams were left disappointed in the World Cup semifinal as Belgium fell to France, 1-0, and England lost to Croatia, 2-1, in extra time. Consolation matches are generally high scoring at…
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2018 Gambling Olympics: Standings, Point Totals, Best/Worst Events for All 12 Competitors
I’ve spent the past week writing about the Gambling Olympics. At this point I don’t know how to do anything else. The Main Event is over, but there’s a lot that can still be said about the competition. Some readers have asked if I can give more details on final standings and individual performances. For…
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Mookie Betts Grand Slam Ruins Multiple Bets After Toronto Error
Those brave enough to bet against the red-hot Red Sox (and the under) for the first five innings got off to a decent start in Fenway tonight. The Jays struck first in the top of the first on a Teoscar Hernandez two-run shot. That gave Toronto a 2-0 lead, which held until the bottom of…
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World Cup Betting Recap Heading into France-Croatia Final
With France set to take on Croatia on Sunday (11 a.m. ET) in the World Cup final, let’s take a look at how the tournament has panned out so far from a betting perspective. France were one of the favorites to win the World Cup at +700, while Croatia were a dark horse/longshot at +3500.…
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Betting the World Cup Third-Place Playoff: Will England vs. Belgium Be Wide Open?
England vs. Belgium, 10 a.m. ET Saturday, Fox Sports 1 England +222 Belgium +114 Draw +280 Bet to Watch: Under 3 Goals -106 Let me start by saying that the third-place playoff is an absolute abomination. Imagine how it must feel to suffer the most excruciating loss of your career, pick yourself up a few…
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ATP Wimbledon Semifinals Betting Preview: Novak Djokovic vs. Rafael Nadal
In this preview, we’ll take a look at the second semifinal match — featuring rivals Rafa Nadal and Novak Djokovic — who have won a combined 29 Grand Slams. Over the years, Rafa and Djokovic have always played tight matches. Although Rafa has won their two most recent meetings, Novak won 11 of the previous…
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Thursday’s MLB Over/Under: Breaking Down Max Scherzer’s Last Start Before the Break
OK, that’s three in a row now to open up the final week heading into the break after last night’s Cardinals-White Sox Under 9.5 bet cashed with ease. Zylbert’s 2018 MLB Over/Under Betting Record: 61-38-3, +19.05 units Yesterday’s Result: Cardinals-White Sox Under 9.5 (WIN) Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit…
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NBA Summer League Betting: Round 1 of the Vegas Playoffs Continues
As mentioned in our inaugural Summer League piece last Friday, over the past two seasons it has been highly profitable to bet underdogs and overs. Favorites: 66-117-5 ATS, -30.0% ROI, -$5,636 lost for a $100/unit bettor Dogs: 117-66-5 ATS, +22.5% ROI, +$4,227 won for a $100/unit bettor Over: 107-77-4, +12.0% ROI, +$2,252 won for a $100/unit…
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Thursday MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Phillies-Orioles and Mariners-Angels
Pro players swung and missed on their three Wednesday plays, losing the Reds-Indians Under, Cardinals-White Sox Over and Angels moneyline. It’s been a rough 48-hour stretch for the wiseguys. After a 2-0 Monday, they’ve gone 1-6 in the last two days. Baseball betting is the most volatile of any sport. The 2,430-game season provides countless ups and…
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ATP Wimbledon Semifinal Betting Preview: John Isner vs. Kevin Anderson
The semifinals are here, folks. If you caught our pre-tournament futures preview, we successfully projected three of the four semifinalists. Let’s take a closer look at the first semifinal — a battle between two big servers in John Isner and Kevin Anderson.
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Dodgers-Padres Strikeout Prop: Ross Stripling Should Deal Against San Diego
Betting odds: Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres, 10:10 p.m. ET Dodgers (Ross Stripling): -190 Padres (Tyson Ross): +170 Over/under: 7.5 (o-115) Ross Stripling — NL All-Star Ross Stripling, that is — is a new man this season. One might call him a boss. I guess that could also refer to Tyson Ross, the Padres’ starter tonight,…
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Marky’s Thursday Forecast: Coors Field Primed for Another Offensive Eruption
Two nights ago, the hitters at “Closed” Field couldn’t take advantage of perfect weather, putting up only eight combined runs. Last night, they put up 10 … in the first two innings. With 21 total runs scored on Wednesday, they most definitely capitalized on the weather. They’ll have another chance to do so on Thursday…
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How Should Bettors Handle Summer League Line Movement?
After five days of basketball in Las Vegas, the 2018 NBA Summer League playoffs tipped off on Wednesday. Even though these matchups aren’t as heavily bet as regular-season games are, they draw enough action to force oddsmakers to adjust the lines. Rajon Rondo vs. Lonzo Ball: Breaking Down Their Season Props with the LakersRead now In…
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Wake and Rake: Diamondbacks-Rockies Attracting Significant Wiseguy Action
It may be the dog days of the summer on the sports-betting calendar, but that’s not stopping both sharp and public bettors from getting down on today’s MLB slate. Professionals obviously don’t worry about the sport, time of year or anything else, as long as that wager is offering value. Lo Duca: Betting Against Another…
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Nationals-Mets Betting Preview: Do You Dare Fade Max Scherzer?
Betting odds: Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets, 7:10 p.m. ET Nationals (Max Scherzer): -206 Mets (Steven Matz): +186 Over/under: 7 There was an interesting argument between the media and Mets fans before the year. The Mets’ win total was set right around 81, and a lot of reporters were saying that was too low,…
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Lo Duca: Betting Against Another High-Scoring D-backs-Rockies Affair
Betting odds: Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies, 3:10 p.m. ET Diamondbacks (Robbie Ray): -112 Rockies (Kyle Freeland): +102 Over/under: 11 (u+105) The first thing that always jumps off the page when betting baseball are the over/unders at Coors Field in Denver, Colo. Last night books closed the total at an insanely high 12.5 (o-120), and…
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League of Legends Europe LCS (7/13-7/14): Underdog Misfits Have a Scheduling Advantage
It’s Week 4 of the EU LCS, and things are starting to return to normal. The teams with stronger individual skill and understanding of the standard metagame have begun to make a comeback after a tough few weeks in the new patch. We should expect to see a slow shift back towards the conventional attack…
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Where Will Manny Machado Land? Oddsmakers Give the Brewers an Edge
The Baltimore Orioles are bad. As in bottom of the MLB standings bad. Manny Machado is good. As in leading his team in hits (111), RBIs (63), home runs (23) and batting average (.314) good. With that said, it’s likely that the Orioles will trade him before the deadline so they can get something…
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Rajon Rondo vs. Lonzo Ball: Breaking Down Their Season Props with the Lakers
Maybe you thought you read enough about the Los Angeles Lakers. Maybe you thought you had gone over enough props. Well, you haven’t, because we haven’t even discussed Lonzo vs. Rondo. The minute it was reported that Rajon Rondo would join the Lakers, word started to spread through media that he would be competing for…
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2018 Gambling Olympics: Top 5 Moments
The Main Event is over, but the memories will live forever. Here are the top five moments from the 2018 Gambling Olympics. Jonathan Bales Wins Inaugural Gambling Olympics Main EventRead now 1. Ingram Beats Bales at Rock-Paper-Scissors Jonathan Bales prides himself on one thing: his Rock-Paper-Scissors ability. He talked about it at length on The…
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France Favored Over Croatia In World Cup Final
After a month of drama, the World Cup Final is set. France will meet Croatia for the trophy on Sunday at 11 a.m. ET. France are currently -210 favorites to lift the trophy with Croatia coming back at +176. On the three-way moneyline, France is listed at -104, Croatia is +372 and the draw is…
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World Cup Semifinal Betting Recap: Croatia Comes Back to Beat England in Extra Time
After battling through 90 minutes of regulation and 30 minutes of extra time, Croatia were victorious over England and will now meet France in the World Cup final. Here’s a look at the betting results from Wednesday. Match #62: England vs. Croatia (Semifinal) Result: England 1-1 Croatia (Croatia advance to final after winning 2-1 in…
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WTA Wimbledon Semifinals Betting Preview: Serena Seeks 20 Straight
After countless early upsets, we have four seeds left standing on the women’s side — three of which have previously won a Grand Slam. All four ladies had to battle in fantastic quarterfinal matches to get to this point. Let’s take a closer look at both semifinals to see if there is anything worth betting.…
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Northwestern 2018 Betting Preview: Two Big Games to Bet Pat’s Cats
Northwestern 2018 Betting Odds To win the National Title: +70000 To win the Big Ten: +2000 To win the Big Ten West: +600 Win Total: 6 (over -155, under +135) Always shop for the best line. Northwestern 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds The Action Network Projected Wins: 6.3 Bet To Watch Game of the Year: Northwestern (-5)…
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Sobel’s Scottish Open Preview: Betting Matthew Fitzpatrick and a Host of Longshots
The Highlights The PGA Tour takes a back seat to the European Tour this week in the run-up to the British Open. If you’re looking to bet on the PGA’s John Deere Classic, Kyle Stanley stands out as good value at 24-1. Matthew Fitzpatrick (45-1) is my favorite pick on the board at the Scottish…
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2018 John Deere Classic Betting Notes: Target the Mid-Tier
With the British Open a week away, many of the top players have already made the trek to the U.K. to prepare for the next major championship. But with one spot still up for grabs, the rest of the PGA Tour is ready for the John Deere Classic. Dustin Johnson Remains 2018 British Open Favorite,…
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Jonathan Bales Wins Inaugural Gambling Olympics Main Event
Highlights The 2018 Gambling Olympics is a two-day contest in Las Vegas. The buy-in is $2,500, and the winner gets $10,000. Jonathan Bales wins the Main Event thanks to finishing top-five in 8-of-11 individual contests. Sometimes the logical is the inevitable. Jonathan Bales has won the inaugural Gambling Olympics, an outcome that surprises nobody, considering that he’s…
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NBA Summer League Betting: The Vegas Playoffs Begin
As mentioned in our inaugural Summer League piece last Friday, over the past two seasons it has been highly profitable to bet underdogs and overs. Favorites: 66-117-5 ATS, -30.0% ROI, -$5,636 lost for a $100/unit bettor Dogs: 117-66-5 ATS, +22.5% ROI, +$4,227 won for a $100/unit bettor Over: 107-77-4, +12.0% ROI, +$2,252 won for a $100/unit…
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Cristiano Ronaldo’s Transfer To Juventus Moving Odds Around Europe
The Highlights Cristiano Ronaldo has joined Juventus after the club agreed to a €100m ($117 million) transfer fee with Real Madrid. The 33-year-old spent nine years with Real Madrid, winning two La Liga titles and four Champions League titles. Juventus’ odds have gone from 14-1 to 8-1 to win the Champions League following the move.…
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Purdue 2018 Betting Preview: Expect Defensive Regression, Plenty of Overs
Purdue 2018 Betting Odds To win the National Title: +50000 To win the Big Ten: +4500 To win the Big Ten East: +1275 Win Total: 6 (over -130, under -110) Always shop for the best line. Purdue 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds The Action Network Projected Wins: 5.1 Bet To Watch Purdue Win Total Under 6 +100…
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Michigan State 2018 Betting Preview: Don’t Expect a Repeat of Last Season
Michigan State 2018 Betting Odds To win the National Title: +4500 To win the Big Ten: +900 To win the Big Ten East: +530 Win Total: 9 (over +105, under -125) Always shop for the best line. Michigan State 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds The Action Network Projected Wins: 9.5 Bet To Watch Michigan State +3.5 vs.…
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Wednesday MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Mariners-Angels, 2 Totals
It’s been one step forward and one step back for the wiseguys so far this week. On Monday the sharps went 2-0, but yesterday they were able to cash only one of their four plays (Blue Jays +117). The killer was an epically bad beat in Cleveland. Wiseguys got down on the Under 8.5 and…
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Mariners-Angels Betting Preview: Halos a Rare Contrarian Favorite Again
Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels, 10:07 p.m. ET Mariners (Marco Gonzales): +102 Angels (Jaime Barria): -112 Over/under 8.5 (o-120) Bet to watch Yes, this is going to be the same play I had last night, but there’s plenty to like here, so bear with me. First, the Angels are once again a contrarian favorite.…