memphis-boise state-ncaa-tournament-picks

Memphis vs. Boise State Odds & Picks: 2 Historic Trends Say Back This Team in First Round

Memphis vs. Boise State Betting Odds

Memphis Odds -3
Boise State Odds +3
Over/Under 132
Date Thursday, March 17
Time/TV 1:45 p.m. ET, TNT
Odds via PointsBet. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAB Odds here.

The 8 vs. 9 games in the NCAA Tournament are oftentimes difficult to pick. Memphis vs. Boise State should be the easiest one of the year, folks.

Once lines and totals were released for the first round of the NCAA Tournament, two of our top-rated college basketball betting models immediately found value in this matchup, backing the same side.

Here’s the spread that all the historical data says you should bet Thursday.

Memphis vs. Boise State PRO Pick


Projections and trends both support the Boise State Broncos on Thursday afternoon.

First, Boise State plus the points is the best value on today’s card, per our numbers.

We make the first-round game vs. Memphis a pure pick ’em at 0. It’s well off the consensus number of +3, resulting in a 6.9% betting edge and B+ grade bet.

Secondly, Boise State fits two historical, profitable betting systems.

The first is our NCAA Tournament Defensive Teams (PRO), which banks on underdogs off a game in which they allowed fewer than 60 points.

The other system in favor of the Broncos is our NCAA Tournament Slow Paced Dogs (PRO) angle. Teams that average around 72 or fewer possessions per game catching between 1 and 4.5 points in the NCAA Tournament are hitting north of 60%!

We admittedly tracked sharp money on Memphis, but that was at the shortest price in the betting cycle (-1.5).

Take the points, and don’t be shocked if there’s an upset.

PRO Pick: Boise State +3

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