toronto blue jays vs. detroit tigers-prediction-pick-odds-sunday-july 27-jack-flaherty

Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction, Pick, Odds for Sunday, July 27

The Detroit Tigers and Toronto Blue Jays will meet in the MLB on Sunday afternoon. First pitch from Comerica Park is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on SNET.

The Blue Jays won the first three games and will look to sweep this series today with Max Scherzer on the mound against the Tigers’ Jack Flaherty.

Continue below for my MLB betting preview and Blue Jays vs Tigers predictions for Sunday, July 27, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.

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  • Blue Jays vs Tigers pick: Under 8.5 (-110)

My Blue Jays vs Tigers best bet is on the under, with the best line currently available at DraftKings. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.

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Blue Jays vs Tigers Odds

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Blue Jays vs Tigers Projected Starting Pitchers

RHP Max Scherzer (TOR) Stat RHP Jack Flaherty (DET)
1-0 W-L 5-10
0.0 fWAR (FanGraphs) 1.0
5.14 / 4.35 ERA / xERA 4.77 / 4.09
5.30 / 4.24 FIP / xFIP 4.29 / 3.64
1.25 WHIP 1.29
17.4 K-BB% 19.9
26.9 GB% 34.1
98 Stuff+ 99
107 Location+ 100

Blue Jays vs Tigers Preview, Picks

The Tigers offense has produced eight runs combined in the last four games for a mere two-run average.

In 2025, they rank ninth in wRC+ with 104.

However, in July, they are currently sitting 29th out of 30 teams with 80, just ahead of the terrible Pittsburgh Pirates.

The last two games of this series had scores of 6-2 and 6-1, so the under at 8.5 is in play again for this final contest, especially with Detroit on a month-long slump.

The Blue Jays offense is much more potent, but Jack Flaherty has much better splits at home, with a 3.71 ERA at Comerica Park compared to his awful 6.28 ERA on the road.

This aligns with our Bet Labs recommendation for the Under.

[betlabsembed systemid=”1474781″ systemname=”Evan Abrams – Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams, Later in Series” leaguename=”mlb” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20or%20Postseason%20season%22%2C%22betting%20on%20the%20Under%22%2C%22the%20home%20team’s%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%2051%25%20and%20100%25%22%2C%22the%20visitor%20team’s%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%2051%25%20and%20100%25%22%2C%22the%20over%2Funder%20%25%20is%20between%200%25%20and%2035%25%22%2C%22the%20series%20game%20%23%20is%20between%202%20and%20100%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$14,091″ record=”1339-1133-106″ winpct=”54%”][/betlabsembed]

This system targets unders in MLB series games (Game 2 or later) where both teams have winning records, suggesting quality pitching and competitive matchups.

However, public betting leans toward the over — likely expecting fireworks between top teams — which creates contrarian value on the under.

By capitalizing on low public support for the under (≤35%), the strategy fades public perception in favor of market inefficiencies, especially when bettors overestimate offensive output late in a series.

Pick: Under 8.5 (-110)


Blue Jays vs Tigers Betting Trends

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