tigers vs orioles prediction-pick-odds-tuesday-june 10-adley rutschman

Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Pick, Odds Tonight

The Baltimore Orioles (26-38) host the Detroit Tigers (43-24) on Tuesday, June 10, 2025. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on MASN2 and FanDuel Sports Detroit.

After a dismal start to the year, the Orioles have rebounded of late to win 10 of their last 14 games. Baltimore finds itself as a -136 moneyline favorite entering Tuesday; the game total is set at 9 (-113o / -107u).

Continue below to find my Tigers vs Orioles prediction.

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  • Tigers vs Orioles Pick: Orioles Moneyline (-120, BetMGM | Play to -130)

My Tigers vs Orioles best bet is the Orioles moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.

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Tigers vs Orioles Odds, Lines

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Tigers vs Orioles Projected Starting Pitchers

LHP Cade Povich (BAL) Stat RHP Sawyer Gipson-Long (DET)
1-4 W-L 0-0
0.6 fWAR (FanGraphs) 0.1
5.11 / 5.26 ERA /xERA 7.36 / 11.91
4.26 / 3.92 FIP / xFIP 2.25 / 4.21
1.47 WHIP 1.64
2.8 K-BB% 3.0
40.4% GB% 8.3%
97 Stuff+ 101
102 Location+ 117

Tigers vs Orioles Preview, Prediction

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The Tigers’ never-ending hunt for reliable back-of-the-rotation arms continues.

This time, it’s 27-year-old Sawyer Gipson-Long, who allowed three runs with five hits over 3 2/3 innings against the White Sox last time out.

Gipson-Long isn’t a hard thrower, averaging 92.9 mph on his four-seamer. However, he managed to strike out 26 batters in 20 1/3 innings across four starts in 2023, despite not having elite velocity. The rookie hurler features a sinker, slider and change-up in addition to his four-seamer.

Still, I’m not very optimistic about his upside, given the small sample size and the unspectacular results.

Detroit looked elite offensively early in the year, but it endured a rough patch lately. The Tigers have scored three or fewer runs in six of their past nine games. The biggest problem for the Tigers is their surging strikeout rate (24.6% since May 15th), as well as a lack of power (just 20 homers in their past 23 games).

Moreover, the Tigers’ Achilles heel is hitting left-handed pitching.

At least last year, they could successfully platoon with Justin-Henry Malloy and Andy Ibanez contributing. But they’ve performed so poorly this season that the Tigers had to send them to Triple-A. I’m curious to see the way AJ Hinch navigates the lineup with Ibanez demoted, as they haven’t faced a southpaw starter since he got sent down.

The likely scenario is that Detroit will live with Kerry Carpenter’s inability to hit left-handed pitchers. He has a 57 wRC+ versus left-handers, but that’s a bigger problem with Riley Greene hitting .197 with a 67 wRC+ and Colt Keith hitting .156 with a 21 wRC+.

Three of the Tigers’ nine bats are total non-factors against lefties, and that’s a complete disaster.


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I can’t lie and say I’m a believer in Cade Povich.

He’s shown strides in his sophomore campaign, particularly by lifting his K/9 from 7.79 to 9.27. The concern lies with his shaky 3.36 BB/9 and 1.44 HR/9, but his 4.26 FIP and 3.92 xFIP make his 5.11 ERA a bit more palatable.

It might be too late for the Orioles to salvage their season because they started so poorly. But it’s not too late for the young players who looked like foundational pieces in Baltimore to establish themselves as future organizational pillars.

The Orioles rank 13th among MLB lineups with a 103 wRC+ since May 15th, with four qualified hitters posting a wRC+ better than 100.

Gunnar Henderson has just a 101 wRC+ in a nearly 99 AB sample, but Adley Rutschman and Jackson Holiday have done the heavy lifting. Rutschman, a former All-Star catcher who hadn’t hit much in the past 12 months, found his swing, posting a 140 wRC+ with three homers in 22 games. Meanwhile, Holiday has a 129 wRC+ with a team-best four homers.

The good part? Baltimore is avoiding facing a left-hander.

It follows a similar platoon approach to the Tigers by sitting Ryan O’Hearn and Colton Cowser against lefties for Emmanuel Rivera and Dylan Carlson. That’s a huge downgrade, so Baltimore should have a terrific approach and a surplus of left-handed bats to ambush Gipson-Long.


Tigers vs Orioles Prediction, Betting Analysis

I’ll roll with the surging Orioles here.

I think the Tigers’ offense will eventually find their footing, but their two best hitters are virtual non-factors in this matchup.

Pairing that with the Orioles’ ability to crush right-handers, especially an unimpressive one like Gipson-Long, makes Baltimore a terrific play in this series opener.

Pick: Orioles Moneyline (-120, BetMGM | Play to -130)

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Moneyline

As mentioned above, I like the Orioles’ Moneyline in this matchup.


Run Line (Spread)

I will not be betting on either side of the Run Line.


Over/Under

I’m also staying away from Over/Unders in this game.


Tigers vs Orioles Betting Trends

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[gameforecast league=”mlb” gameid=”256202″ date=”20250610″][/gameforecast]


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