Saturday’s college football Week 4 slate may not be the biggest of the season in terms of high-profile matchups — sure there are handful of games between top-25 teams — but that certainly won’t diminish the betting interest in any way.
With more than 100 games on Saturday’s college football Week 4 odds board, there are plenty of opportunities for bettors to find value, and that’s exactly what the market’s sharpest bettors are doing right now.
Based on the latest smart money indicators, big bets, betting model edges and expert picks, these five Saturday games are showing as ones that bettors should key in on in Week 4:
- Massachusetts vs. Temple (2 p.m. ET)
- Notre Dame vs. North Carolina (3:30 p.m. ET)
- Charlotte vs. South Carolina (7:30 p.m. ET)
- Miami Ohio vs. Northwestern (7:30 p.m. ET)
- No. 7 USC vs. Oregon State (7:30 p.m. ET)
College Football Odds, Picks Week 4
*Odds and picks as of Saturday morning
Massachusetts vs. Temple Pick
2 p.m. ET | ESPN+
UMass vs. Temple is a prime example of how savvy bettors leverage betting models to find value value.
According to the Action Network’s College Football PRO Projections, Massachusetts should be much closer to a 6-point underdog — +5.7 to be exact — while the market is essentially sitting at +10.
The difference between our projection and the latest spread results in an 8.1% edge, one that many bettors will overlook in Week 4.
PRO Report Pick: UMass +10
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Notre Dame vs. North Carolina Pick
3:30 p.m. ET | ABC
When it comes to Notre Dame vs. North Carolina on Saturday afternoon, there are no frills, no thrills, just respected bettors pounding this under into the ground.
This total initially hit the board at 61 and has attracted a steady diet of under action ever since.
Wiseguys have continued to steam that side of the total throughout the week, driving this line down to 55.5 as of Saturday morning.
PRO Report Pick: Under 55.5
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Charlotte vs. South Carolina Pick
7:30 p.m. ET | ESPNU
Charlotte vs. South Carolina may not be all that interesting to recreational college football bettors, but this over is quite popular among market movers.
Action Labs’ Bet Signals have tracked seven separate waves of sharp action slamming that side of the total, pushing the number up from 64.5 to 66.5 at DraftKings, and even up to between 67 and 67.5 at other sportsbooks.
Even after the odds movement thus far, our college football betting model projects this total at 71.5, leaving a 6.9% edge for those looking to get down on this matchup.
Since this line varies depending on the sportsbook, be sure to visit our College Football Live Odds Page to locate the shops, like DraftKings and PointsBet, offering this total at 66.5.
PRO Report Pick: Over 66.5
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Miami Ohio vs. Northwestern Pick
7:30 p.m. ET | BTN
Once again, we have a betting model edge that wiseguys are popping.
The Wildcats opened as 6-point favorites over the RedHawks and professional action has driven this spread up to -7.5 as of the time of writing.
While seven is one of the most important numbers in football betting, our PRO Projections indicate that there is enough value there even if you missed -6 or -6.5 earlier this week.
Our model projects this line at Northwestern -10.2, translating to a 2.8% edge for Wildcats backers.
PRO Report Pick: Northwestern -7.5
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USC vs. Oregon State Pick
7:30 p.m. ET | Pac-12 Network
USC is the only team ranked in the AP Top 25 in today’s Week 4 PRO Report and sharps are fading the Trojans in droves.
Oregon State opened as a 7-point underdog against USC at PointsBet and wiseguys swiftly took a position on the Beavers.
Several influxes of professional betting action have come in on Oregon State, highlighted by the road underdog landing just 22% of the spread bets, but 40% the loot.
In addition, four of the Action Network’s top college football bettors are on the Beavers as well, aligning sharps and experts with Oregon State on Saturday night.
PRO Report Pick: Oregon State +6