UFC 272 will take place in front of a live crowd at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. All of the fighters successfully made weight on Friday, locking in 13 fights. The main card is on PPV starting at 10 p.m. ET.
Of the 13 fights on the card, DraftKings projects eight will end inside the distance. Below, I preview my favorite UFC 272 prop bets and a PrizePicks parlay.
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UFC Fight Night Prop Bets
Kevin Holland vs. Alex “Cowboy” Oliveira
Fight Goes the Distance Odds: Yes (+130) / No (-175)
Kevin “Big Mouth” Holland returns to the welterweight division and successfully made weight. His past several fights have been at middleweight, but he was really struggling at the heavier weight class. His return to 170 pounds is a very exciting spot, as his power should really translate well.
While Holland does enjoy a good striking exchange, he is also an underrated submission grappler. Holland should look to stay standing as long as possible, but we know “Cowboy” Oliveira will have his eyes set on takedowns. The Brazilian has tapped many of his opponents and been tapped by even more.
Being submitted eight times in his career vs. submitting five makes this a particularly interesting prop.
Not taking a fighter here, but I’ll take this fight to end by submission since they are both very skilled in this department. Kevin Holland’s Round 2 or 3 submission prop +2000 is a play for me, as well.
Prop bet: Fight Ends in a submission +500
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Jalin Turner vs. Jamie Mullarkey
Fight Goes the Distance Odds: Yes (+150) / No (-200)
Turner, nicknamed “The Tarantula” is mostly known as a striker, but he has two surprising wins by submission in his two UFC fights.
Neither fighter is going to be looking to win on points. In fact, Turner has a 100% finish rate in his wins and Mullarkey has over a 90% finish rate in his wins.
With Turner coming in as a decorated striker, he is clearly showing how well-rounded his game is. I lean towards a KO win from Turner but will take Turner inside the distance at +140.
Prop bet: Jalin Turner wins ITD +140
PrizePicks Parlay
PrizePicks is a daily fantasy operator that allows you to parlay two or more MMA props together. If both hit, you’ll get paid out 2X your initial wager. However, if only one hits, you’ll still get paid out 0.5X your initial wager.
Rafael Dos Anjos Over 1.0 Takedowns
For the PrizePicks of the week, we look towards Rafael Dos Anjos at a catchweight of 160 pounds against Renato Moicano, who fought just three weeks ago.
I am clearly expecting Dos Anjos to win this fight. Moicano’s cardio could really be an issue after taking the fight on short notice, so expect Dos Anjos to ride Moicano on the cage and gas out his opponent. This should be a wrestling-heavy affair for this five-round co-main event.
Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Brian Kelleher Fight Time: Under 11.5 Minutes
This fight between Umar Nurmagomedov and Brian “Boom” Kelleher should be must-watch action.
On one hand, it is confusing to see Kelleher as this big of an underdog. On the other hand, it seems like betting against anyone that has Khabib in his corner is a bad investment.
Kelleher is a massive underdog and while the odds say that Nurmagomedov will win this fight by decision, I’ll back a finish here.
